The business of financial
institutions is obviously to make money. But at one time in the not-so-distant
past university professors and do-gooders spent hours and hours explaining how
loans and other financial tools would help "underdeveloped" countries
join the select group of "First World" nations enjoying economic
prosperity, democracy and the benefits of the consumer society.
Yet you don’t have to have a
Phd to understand that money lenders are out for economic as well as political
gain.
Last Monday the U.S. Supreme
Court ruled that Argentina must repay some $1.3 billion to a group of creditors
bent on making money out of money—a decision which might well represent a
severe blow to emerging economies dependent on international debt markets and
establish once again the political clout of international finance.
To put the story in perspective
it is convenient to remember what happened in the 1970’s when banks had
accumulated enormous amounts of capital. Instead of putting that money into
production, they handed out loans to poor countries, no doubt knowing that
paying back those loans would be difficult or nearly impossible and therefore a
handy tool for imposing economic rules favorable to multi-national business.
In Latin America during that
decade conservative ant-communist dictatorships snatched power from one country
to the next and almost in unison attempted to impose “free market” economic
policies characterized by scandalous debt taking. In Latin America indebtedness
from 1975 to 1982 increased four times according to Wilkipedia, from $75
billion to $315 billion, while interest payments jumped ahead by even greater
ratios.
In Argentina the biggest debt
takers were the members of the military dictatorship: the debt increased by
465% from1976 to 1983. Many critics say furthermore that many of the so-called
loans never appeared in the form of social or economic infra-structure
projects.
The democratically elected
governments which followed the defeat of the dictatorship inherited an enormous
economic headache, which led to an enormous economic collapse in 2001 and the
non-payment of $81 billion in public debt. The government offered bondholders a
haircut solution which 92.4 % of the creditors accepted and the debt payments
were made punctually. Since 2003, according to Argentine government figures,
debt service payments were made for over $190 billion dollars, although the
country had no access to international financial markets.
The 7% bondholders who refused
to go along with the deal, known as the vulture funds, bought up default bonds
at incredibly low prices in order to resell them at extraordinary profit.
An example of this
profitability is the case of Paul Singer’s NML fund: in 2008 it paid only 48.7
million US dollars for bonds in default. Monday’s ruling by Judge Thomas Griesa
orders that it be paid 832 million, for a gain of 1608% over six years.
The ruling of the New York
District Court orders payment of 1.5 billion dollars by June 30, although it is
calculated that the value of the total bonds in default that did not enter the
restructuring processes would take the figure to 15 billion, over 50% of the
country’s foreign currency reserves.
That would appear to push the
country into another default because if it does not pay the 1.5 billion it will
have to pay 15 billion in the immediate future.
Curiously enough, if Argentina
does not pay the vulture funds, the ruling forbids Argentina from making the
payments to the 92.4% of the bondholders who did accept the restructuring. So,
in the words of an advertisement of the Argentine presidency: “paying the
vulture funds is a path leading to default, and if they are not paid, Judge
Griesa’s order entails jeopardizing the right of the bondholders to collect
their debt restructured in 2005 and 2010.”
What would appear to be clear
is that giving out loans gives the financial institutions leverage to demand
the kind of economic policies which are favorable to the interests of the
prevailing financial and industrial interests. Thus, any attempt at alternative
forms of development become either pipe dreams or attempts to subvert the
financial world’s vision of reality.
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